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Asset Allocation
10%
Equities10%
Indices10%
Forex20%
Commodities50%
BondsNote: This is for illustrative purposes only and there is no obligation to accept the asset allocation provided by this tool. The Portfolio Mix is neither investment advice nor a suggestion on asset allocation to be adopted by the investors.
Instruments
Description
Trend
Trading Range

Johnson &
Johnson
Trend
Range $153.12 - $171.32
Johnson & Johnson is positioned for growth, driven by its focus on innovation and targeted acquisitions. In Innovative
Medicine, the company aims to deliver 20+ therapies and 50 product expansions by 2030, focusing on oncology.
Breakthrough treatments like CARVYKTI, DARZALEX, and emerging neuroscience and immunology therapies drive growth.
In MedTech, JNJ is using robotics, cardiovascular interventions, and digital solutions. Acquisitions like Shockwave Medical
boost its minimally invasive treatments portfolio. By 2027, a third of MedTech sales are expected from new products. JNJ's
focus on innovation and pipeline progress positions the company for sustained competitive growth in the long term.
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Switzerland 20
Trend
Range
CHF 12,280 –
CHF 13,400
Switzerland’s benchmark index has maintained a steady upward trajectory this year, surpassing 12,500 for the first time
since early 2022. Amid rising global uncertainty, investors have turned to the country's defensive stocks, particularly in the
healthcare sector, which is relatively less susceptible to economic downturn. As a result, the index has gained 10.26%
year-to-date. In anticipation of global trade tensions, the Swiss government lowered the nation’s economic growth forecast
slightly to 1.4% in 2025 from a previous estimate of 1.5%. This is a mark of confidence in the Swiss economy’s resilience as it
is expected to avert a downturn. Inflation is expected to remain low at 0.3% in 2025. Moreover, when Europe as a whole and
Germany in particular rolls out its fiscal stimulus package, it is expected to boost demand in Switzerland as well. That is
because Germany is Switzerland’s largest trading partner and ranks second as a destination for Swiss exports.
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EUR/USD
Trend
Range 1.065-1.109
From a technical perspective, on the weekly chart, the currency pair is trading at the support that can be witnessed at the
1.076-1.078 price mark, supporting a bullish stance in the month ahead. From a fundamental standpoint, on March 18, 2025,
the German Parliament passed a historic bill to increase public spending, marking a departure from decades of fiscal
conservatism aimed at revitalizing infrastructure and bolstering military budgets. The bill will allow defence spending to
exceed 1% of the GDP, amounting to approximately €45 billion, with no upper limit. The bill will also raise the borrowing limit
for state governments from 0% to 0.35% of GDP and also includes special investments for infrastructure and Climate
Transition as well. Such a spending increase would increase the government deficits, which would then have to be funded
by bond issuances. And as the higher supply of bonds implies higher yields, the Euro stands at a positive front.
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Gold
Trend
Range $2937 - $3167
The safety of Gold continues to shine brighter than ever, with the precious metal on track to rally for a third consecutive
month, extending to record levels above $3050, while giving about 15% returns year-to-date. The rally has been driven by
tariff uncertainties, geopolitical tensions, a weakening US dollar and rising inflation expectations, leading to economic
uncertainty and pushing investors to a flight to safety. The fuel to this impressive rally has come from robust investment
demand, evident by gold-backed ETFs adding about 154 tons in holdings so far into the year. This takes the total gold held
by ETFs to 87.8 million ounces, a rise of about 6% year-to-date. Moreover, Donald Trump’s plan for a new tariff policy is
expected to be released on April 2nd, following the US Consumer confidence data released recently that dropped to its
lowest level of 92.9 in about four years, signalling an uncertain macroeconomic environment for investors, boding well for
the bullion
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iShares Core
U.S. Aggregate
Bond ETF
U.S. Aggregate
Bond ETF
Trend
Range $93.29 - $103.12
The iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) is a prominent fund that closely tracks the Bloomberg Barclays U.S.
Aggregate Bond Index, offering a comprehensive snapshot of the U.S. investment-grade bond market. With a diversified
portfolio of over 8,000 bonds—including government, corporate, mortgage-backed, and asset-backed securities—AGG
provides extensive coverage of the U.S. bond market. The ETF is designed for cost-efficiency, boasting a low expense ratio
of 0.03%, well below industry standards, and manages more than $120 billion in assets. AGG has delivered one-year returns
of 4.32%, with a 12-month dividend yield of 3.74%. This makes it an attractive option for investors seeking broad exposure to
U.S. bonds with minimal costs, offering the potential for income and capital appreciation.
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iShares iBoxx $
Investment
Grade Corporate
Bond ETF
Investment
Grade Corporate
Bond ETF
Trend
Range $102.56 - $113.35
The iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (LQD) aims to mirror the performance of an index composed of
U.S. dollar-denominated investment-grade corporate bonds. It provides investors with exposure to the high-quality segment
of the corporate bond market, offering broad diversification across various sectors, maturities, and credit ratings. With a low
expense ratio of 0.14% and strong liquidity, LQD is an attractive option for those seeking income and stability in the
fixed-income space. The fund has delivered one-year returns of 4.19%. The ETF has a 12-month dividend yield of 4.42%. It
carries moderate interest rate risk and low credit risk, with the majority of its holdings rated A or higher by major credit rating
agencies. LQD is an excellent choice for investors seeking a reliable and well-diversified investment in the investment-grade
corporate bond market.
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iShares 20+ Year
Treasury Bond
ETF
Treasury Bond
ETF
Trend
Range $84.71 - $93.62
The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) is designed to track the performance of long-term U.S. government bonds,
specifically those with over 20 years of remaining maturity. This focus makes the fund particularly sensitive to changes in
interest rates and inflation expectations. TLT is often favoured by investors who anticipate shifts in the Federal Reserve's
monetary policy, especially during transitions from quantitative tightening to quantitative easing. Such shifts usually boost
demand for long-term bonds, driving up their prices and lowering their yields, which in turn enhances the value of TLT’s
underlying assets. The fund has delivered year-to-date returns of 2.79%. The ETF has a 12-month dividend yield of 4.21%,
combined with a strong history of dividend growth, TLT is an appealing choice for investors who are looking towards the
on-going rate cut cycle to continue from the Fed in 2025, potentially leading to the appreciation of long-duration bonds.
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Vanguard Short -
Term Corporate
Bond Index
Term Corporate
Bond Index
Trend
Range $74.80 - $82.67
The Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond Index (VCSH) is a mutual fund that focuses on high-quality corporate bonds with
maturities between one and five years. Its primary goal is to provide investors with a stable and moderate level of current
income while minimizing exposure to interest rate risk. The fund closely tracks the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. 1-5 Year
Corporate Bond Index, which reflects the performance of U.S. dollar-denominated, investment-grade, fixed-rate bonds
issued by companies in the industrial, utility, and financial sectors. With a remarkably low expense ratio of 0.03%, far below
the industry average, VCSH has consistently outperformed its benchmark. The fund has delivered one-year returns of 6.15%,
along with a 12-month dividend yield of 4.02%. It is well-diversified across various sectors, including financials, consumer
non-cyclical, communications, and technology. VCSH is an excellent choice for investors seeking income generation while
prioritising risk management and liquidity in their portfolios.
Readmoreless
Data Source:
Bloomberg
Date: 28th March, 2025
Arun Leslie John
Chief Market Analyst
Deepa Sachanandani
Deputy Head - Research

The product and investment ideas do not consider the risk profile and
financial position of the recipient and may not be suitable for everyone.
Trading in financial markets involves a significant risk of loss, which can exceed deposits. Please read the complete disclaimer carefully.
Trading in financial markets involves a significant risk of loss, which can exceed deposits. Please read the complete disclaimer carefully.
DISCLAIMER: Century Financial Consultancy LLC (“CFC”) is Limited Liability
Company incorporated under the Laws of UAE and is duly licensed and regulated
by the Emirates Securities and Commodities Authority of UAE (SCA). This
information is for illustrative proposes only and must not be construed to be
an advice to invest or otherwise in any investment or financial product. CFC
does not guarantee as to adequacy, accuracy, completeness or reliability of
any information or data contained herein and under no circumstances whatsoever
none of such information or data be construed as an advice or trading strategy
or recommendation to deal (Buy/Sell) in any investment or financial product.
CFC is not responsible or liable for any result, gain or loss, based on this
information, in whole or in part. Please refer to the disclaimer section of
the website for full disclosure of the terms and conditions.
Risks & Assumptions

The strategy might suffer from look-ahead bias which occurs due to use
of information or data in a study or simulation that would not have been
known or available during the period being analyzed. This can lead to
inaccurate results in the study or simulation.

Future price movements may not be exactly the same as the historical
price movements and this could lead to variation in performance.

Testing can sometimes lead to over-optimization. This is a condition
where performance results are tuned so high to the past they are no
longer as accurate in the future.

The model assumes no slippages in trading. Slippage refers to the
difference between the expected price of a trade and the price at which
the trade is actually executed.

Drawdowns in actual trading can be higher than the tested system and
loses could significant in the event of leverage.

Unforeseen events can lead to variation in performance from the tested
trading strategy.

The tested result has been computed with price feeds available from
Bloomberg.

The testing environment has not considered transaction or any other
costs.

Trading indicators used for the purpose of testing has been provided by
Bloomberg.

The strategy might suffer from data mining fallacy, selection bias and
backfill bias.