The Importance of Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis is crucial for long-term investors to determine whether a stock is undervalued or overvalued. Just like knowing the fair price of a banana helps you avoid overpaying, understanding a stock's intrinsic value helps you make informed investment decisions. Fundamental analysis reveals the stock's actual value, ensuring profitable investments.
Types of Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis is divided into qualitative and quantitative categories.
Qualitative Analysis: This involves assessing the quality of aspects like management, brand, products, and board. It's subjective.
The steps to do a qualitative analysis is to answer these questions
For this purpose, the answers to the following questions are determined.
Quantitative Analysis: This uses numerical data from financial statements, providing objective insights.
Check financial statements
A company's financial statements can be numerous. However, there are three primary financial statements that a company presents to display its performance.
Profit and Loss Statement
The profit and loss statement, also known as the income statement, P&L statement, operating statement, or earnings statement, typically includes several key elements:
The company's revenue for a specific period (quarterly or yearly)
- Tax and depreciation figures
- Earnings Per Share (EPS)
- Expenses incurred to generate revenue
This statement provides valuable insights into a company's profitability, highlighting its bottom line. While various parameters can be included in a P&L statement depending on the industry, the primary metrics used to assess profitability across all companies are revenue, Profit Before Interest and Tax (PBIT), and net income.
Balance Sheet
A balance sheet displays a company’s assets, liabilities, and shareholder’s equity at a specific point in time. In a balance sheet, at any point in time, the total assets of a company should always be equal to the company’s liabilities, including shareholder’s equity. Hence, the name ‘balance sheet’.
If they are not balanced, there may be some issues, including incorrect or misplaced data, miscalculations, or exchange rate or inventory errors. Hence, in a balance sheet, Assets = Liabilities + Shareholders’ Equity
Cash-flow Statement
A cash flow statement shows the movement of money in and out of business. A cash-flow statement determines a company’s financial health. It helps you in analysing a company’s liquidity. The cash flow statement shows the net change in cash, usually divided into cash from operating activities, investing activities and financing activities.
For the purpose of analysis, we check the factor ‘Free Cash Flow’. A positive cash flow indicates that the company’s assets are growing from where they started. In contrast, a negative cash flow indicates otherwise.
Additionally, fundamental analysis can be approached in two ways:
- Top-Down Analysis:Starts with macroeconomic factors, then narrows down to individual stocks.
- Bottom-Up Analysis: Begins with individual companies, then builds a stock portfolio based on specific advantages.
Both qualitative and quantitative analyses are essential and complementary.
Acknowledging Investment Risks
While companies can achieve significant success, various risks could lead to financial losses or steep declines in business:
- Debt to equity ratio = total debt/total equity
- Times interest earned = operating income/interest payments
- Current ratio = current assets/current liabilities
Understanding these elements helps investors make informed decisions and potentially mitigate risks associated with stock investments.
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