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Century Financial Consultancy

محفظة استثمارية متنوعة

انقر على المعيار المحدد على المؤشر للتعرف على استراتيجيات التداول المتحفظة، المعتدلة والمغامرة.

توزيع الأصول
10%
الأسهم
10%
المؤشرات
10%
العملات الأجنبية
20%
السلع
50%
السندات
ملاحظة: هذا لأغراض التوضيح فقط وليس هناك أي التزام بقبول توزيع الأصول التي توفرها هذه الأداة. مزيج المحفظة ليس نصيحة استثمارية ولا اقتراحًا بشأن تخصيص الأصول ليتم اعتماده من قبل المستثمرين.
أسواق تداول
الوصف
الاتجاه
نطاق التداول
equites
ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF
Trend
Range 83.15 - 94.21
ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF seeks investment results, before fees and expenses, that track the performance of the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Index. The S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Index is a list of companies from the Standard & Poor's 500 Index (the S&P 500) that have a track record of raising their dividends for at least 25 consecutive years. The index is rebalanced quarterly in January, April, July, and October. The strength of the Dividend Aristocrats lies not just in their ability to continually increase dividend payments to shareholders, but also in their performance. These companies have historically out-appreciated the S&P 500; Dividend Aristocrats yielded an average of 2.5% compared to approximately 1.8% per year.
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indeces
SPX 500
Trend
Range 3714 - 4107
SPX 500 is exhibiting signs of weakness post Jackson Hole economic symposium, as hawkishness was the dominant theme portrayed by Fed chairman Jerome Powell. Market bets on a shallower trajectory for Fed tightening are receding, raising the prospect of more losses for stocks and bonds in an already difficult year. A deepening yield curve inversion points to fears that the Fed’s aggressive stance might trigger a recession. With higher interest rates putting pressure on equity valuations while an earnings downgrade cycle is under way, more market turmoil may lie ahead, while greatest menace to economy and markets may be the Fed's need to tighten more than risk markets anticipates. The mood in global markets overall remains downbeat against the backdrop of a slowing world economy struggling with the highest inflation in a generation, stoked by disruptions from Russia-Ukraine war and China's COVID curbs.
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forex
EUR/USD
Trend
Range 0.9751 - 1.0378
The Euro fell below $1 during last week of August, holding close to low levels not seen in 20 years, as investors weigh growth concerns and prospects the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue to raise interest rates faster. Fresh figures showed inflation rate in the Euro Area increased more than expected this month, raising the odds the ECB will deliver a 75-bps rate hike when it meets next week (8th Sep). Yet, several ECB members have recently advocated for a big rate hike. On the other hand, concerns of an imminent recession in Europe mount as the energy crisis intensifies, weighed down on the common currency. Russia halted natural gas flows via the Nord Stream 1 pipeline for a 3-day maintenance. At the same time, the US dollar is benefiting from its safe-haven appeal and signals that the Federal Reserve will keep aggressive tightening to tame inflation even in a slowdown.
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commodities
Gold
Trend
Range 1629 - 1774
Gold posted a fifth straight monthly drop in August, the longest losing run in four years, as speeches by Federal Reserve officials indicate the central bank will keep monetary policy tight for some time. The metal is extending a run of losses since a speech last week by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, which stressed the central bank’s commitment to reining in inflation. Gold is now down more than 6% in 2022, having come close to a record high when Russia’s invasion of Ukraine stoked demand for haven assets. Other officials struck a similarly hawkish tone. New York Fed chief John Williams said that interest rates probably need to advance above 3.5% at some point to contain price pressures. Separately, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said the central bank will “do what it takes” to curb inflation.
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bonds
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Trend
Range 96.95 - 104.76
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) is one of the 10 largest ETFs on Wall Street and one of the most popular fixed-income options. This fund offers broad exposure to U.S. investment-grade bonds, including Treasury bonds, agency mortgage debt from government-backed entities like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and corporate bonds from highly-rated firms like Bank of America Corp. (BAC). There is built-in diversification and a focus on lower risk. AGG also offers a scale and liquidity that appeals to investors as the fund boasts almost $67 billion in assets and regularly trades north of 3 million shares each day.
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iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Trend
Range 105.18 - 113.68
The iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF seeks to track the investment results of an index composed of U.S. dollar-denominated, investment-grade corporate bonds. There are slim chances for the fund’s top issuers such are Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Bank of America (BAC) or Apple (AAPL) to disappear in the next year or two, making this fund much less risky. The average duration of the fund is 9 years and the rate flattening at the longer end of the yield curve could give a boost to the price increase.
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iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
Trend
Range 71.74 - 77.52
iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF seeks to track the investment results of an index composed of U.S. dollar-denominated, high yield corporate bonds. The US may face only a mild recession as the country's economy is continuing to remain robust. This is likely to buoy the top and bottom lines of the companies included in the index.
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Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond Index
Trend
Range 73.21 - 79.09
Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond Index is a compelling option for exposure to short-term investment-grade corporate bonds. VCSH offers only short-term bonds with an average duration of 2.8 years across the roughly 2,300 individual bonds in the portfolio. Chances are pretty low that firms like Goldman Sachs Group (GS) or Apple (AAPL) that make up this fund will disappear in the next year or two, so that makes this fund much less risky.
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Data Source: Bloomberg
Date: 2nd September, 2022

Arun Leslie John
Chief Market Analyst

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The product and investment ideas do not consider the risk profile and financial position of the recipient and may not be suitable for everyone.
Trading in financial markets involves a significant risk of loss, which can exceed deposits. Please read the complete disclaimer carefully.
DISCLAIMER: Century Financial Consultancy LLC (“CFC”) is Limited Liability Company incorporated under the Laws of UAE and is duly licensed and regulated by the Emirates Securities and Commodities Authority of UAE (SCA). This information is for illustrative proposes only and must not be construed to be an advice to invest or otherwise in any investment or financial product. CFC does not guarantee as to adequacy, accuracy, completeness or reliability of any information or data contained herein and under no circumstances whatsoever none of such information or data be construed as an advice or trading strategy or recommendation to deal (Buy/Sell) in any investment or financial product. CFC is not responsible or liable for any result, gain or loss, based on this information, in whole or in part. Please refer to the disclaimer section of the website for full disclosure of the terms and conditions.
Risks & Assumptions
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The strategy might suffer from look-ahead bias which occurs due to use of information or data in a study or simulation that would not have been known or available during the period being analyzed. This can lead to inaccurate results in the study or simulation.
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Future price movements may not be exactly the same as the historical price movements and this could lead to variation in performance.
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Testing can sometimes lead to over-optimization. This is a condition where performance results are tuned so high to the past they are no longer as accurate in the future.
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The model assumes no slippages in trading. Slippage refers to the difference between the expected price of a trade and the price at which the trade is actually executed.
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Drawdowns in actual trading can be higher than the tested system and loses could significant in the event of leverage.
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Unforeseen events can lead to variation in performance from the tested trading strategy.
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The tested result has been computed with price feeds available from Bloomberg.
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The testing environment has not considered transaction or any other costs.
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Trading indicators used for the purpose of testing has been provided by Bloomberg.
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The strategy might suffer from data mining fallacy, selection bias and backfill bias.